The Real "Maverick"

A little something to keep in mind as you watch Walnuts Depends' acceptance speech and/or the commentary afterwards.

For months, Steve Benen, formerly of Carpetbagger Report and now at Political Animal, has been keeping a list of all of John McCain's flip-flops since he started his most recent presidential campaign.

His stunning reversal on torture alone - from principled upholder of the Geneva Conventions and American decency to giggling, drooling cheerleader for waterboarding - is enough to disqualify him from any public officer.

But Benen has documented much, much more. (75 at last count.)

And when I say flip-flops, I don't mean the rational, common-sense changes in position resulting from new facts on the ground, as they say.

No, McShame's "flip-flops" are all cavalier jettisoning of his most passionately held core beliefs, reversed for the sole purpose of kow-towing to enough wingnut freakazoids to win the repug primary.

Totally ammoral, out of pure ambition. Every single one.

Read the whole thing.

Cross-posted at They Gave Us A Republic.

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Palin Clinches Election - for Obama

For a minute there, I was afraid that sarie, who is obviously way smarter than Walnuts Depends, might actually use her small-town-on-the-frontier cred to reach out to independents, possibly even put this election back into play. An appeal to heartland values, especially right after Der Rudy's mouth-foamer, might have made an indelible impression.

But she didn't. She went straight for the wingnut freakazoid gut. And made them her willing slaves. They're building shrines to her in their front yards right now, gathering at work to sing her praises, preparing to-do lists for the McCain-Palin administration.

All 14 of them.

The wingnut freakazoid menace remains a clear and present danger to the nation, but while its psychopathic heart beats more insane than ever, the size of its fellow-traveler support is greatly diminished.

(More after the jump.)

Polls show the republican voter base shrinking below its 2004 zenith, below its 2000 strength, below its 1994 early growth, almost back to its 1944 nadir.

For the first time in 16 years, people self-identifying as Democrats outnumber people self-identifying as Republicans.

Now neither voter registration nor self-identification is a guarantee of electoral results - as we Democrats technically in the majority here in Kentucky have learned to our cost.

But if you know for a fact that your base alone is no longer big enough to vote your into office, wouldn't you make at least a token effort at appealing to those beyond your base? Wouldn't you try to avoid sucking up to your most fanatic supporters in a way that blatantly antagonizes the centrists you need to win?

As James Fallows explains, Palin's speech exposes and creates a number of long-term problems for her and the ticket.

... both Reagan in 1964 and Obama in 2004 were effective because, apart from their personal skills, they added something to their party's constituency that had not been there before. Reagan began recruiting the "Reagan Democrats," starting with white Southerners. Obama tried to recruit people tired of divisive partisanship.

Sarah Palin, at least tonight, did not seem interested in bringing anyone new into the fold. A speech that was great in the convention hall. We'll see how it affects the electoral lineup.

In a follow-up post, Fallows explains why mockery is best left to professionals.

First, if this speech energized the Republican base, I bet it did the same -- in opposition -- for the Democratic base. And the Democratic/independent/"had enough!" base is simply larger this year.

Second, I wonder how Palin's mocking, contemptuous tone about Obama will travel and age. It was great inside the hall -- again, think of Al Franken, who would of course have been funnier. But the track record of cocky-sounding newcomer politicians is not so great.

SNIP

Wise guys, male or female, do better on talk shows or as satirists than as candidates. (Obvious reason: for an entertainer, support from 10% of the market means a runaway success. A politician needs a lot broader support to win.)

I've learned through the years that it's very hard to judge political turning points in real time. But my guess is that the last twelve hours will be seen as the moment when McCain pushed all his chips into the pot to bet on a "mobilize the base" strategy. Given the fundamental math in this election year, that would also be the moment when it became very hard for him to win.

Cross-posted at They Gave Us A Republic.

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Burning Down the Republic in St. Paul

Remember all the reassurances back in June that the FISA bill Obama voted for was really not that bad and had all kinds of new provisions protecting people from unconstitutional searches and wiretapping, and how all the bloggers screaming bloody murder about killing the Fourth Amendment were just hysterical terrorist-lovers?

Right.

In the house that had just been raided, those inside described how a team of roughly 25 officers had barged into their homes with masks and black swat gear, holding large semi-automatic rifles, and ordered them to lie on the floor, where they were handcuffed and ordered not to move. The officers refused to state why they were there and, until the very end, refused to show whether they had a search warrant. They were forced to remain on the floor for 45 minutes while the officers took away the laptops, computers, individual journals, and political materials kept in the house. One of the individuals renting the house, an 18-year-old woman, was extremely shaken as she and others described how the officers were deliberately making intimidating statements such as "Do you have Terminator ready?" as they lay on the floor in handcuffs. The 10 or so individuals in the house all said that though they found the experience very jarring, they still intended to protest against the GOP Convention, and several said that being subjected to raids of that sort made them more emboldened than ever to do so.

(More, including videos, after the jump.)

Several of those who were arrested are being represented by Bruce Nestor, the President of the Minnesota chapter of the National Lawyers' Guild. Nestor said that last night's raid involved a meeting of a group calling itself the "RNC Welcoming Committee", and that this morning's raids appeared to target members of "Food Not Bombs," which he described as an anti-war, anti-authoritarian protest group. There was not a single act of violence or illegality that has taken place, Nestor said. Instead, the raids were purely anticipatory in nature, and clearly designed to frighten people contemplating taking part in any unauthorized protests.

Nestor indicated that only 2 or 3 of the 50 individuals who were handcuffed this morning at the 2 houses were actually arrested and charged with a crime, and the crime they were charged with is "conspiracy to commit riot." Nestor, who has practiced law in Minnesota for many years, said that he had never before heard of that statute being used for anything, and that its parameters are so self-evidently vague, designed to allow pre-emeptive arrests of those who are peacefully protesting, that it is almost certainly unconstitutional, though because it had never been invoked (until now), its constitutionality had not been tested.

There is clearly an intent on the part of law enforcement authorities here to engage in extreme and highly intimidating raids against those who are planning to protest the Convention. The DNC in Denver was the site of several quite ugly incidents where law enforcement acted on behalf of Democratic Party officials and the corporate elite that funded the Convention to keep the media and protesters from doing anything remotely off-script. But the massive and plainly excessive preemptive police raids in Minnesota are of a different order altogether. Targeting people with automatic-weapons-carrying SWAT teams and mass raids in their homes, who are suspected of nothing more than planning dissident political protests at a political convention and who have engaged in no illegal activity whatsoever, is about as redolent of the worst tactics of a police state as can be imagined.

That happened last week. In St. Paul, Minnesota. Home of Paul Wellstone, who warned us about this exact thing before his untimely death in 2002.

Oh, yeah, the feds were involved.

So here we have a massive assault led by Federal Government law enforcement agencies on left-wing dissidents and protesters who have committed no acts of violence or illegality whatsoever, preceded by months-long espionage efforts to track what they do. And as extraordinary as that conduct is, more extraordinary is the fact that they have received virtually no attention from the national media and little outcry from anyone. And it's not difficult to see why. As the recent "overhaul" of the 30-year-old FISA law illustrated -- preceded by the endless expansion of surveillance state powers, justified first by the War on Drugs and then the War on Terror -- we've essentially decided that we want our Government to spy on us without limits. There is literally no police power that the state can exercise that will cause much protest from the political and media class and, therefore, from the citizenry.

In the streets of St. Paul, the oppressive military presence was that of a banana republic capital under siege, not a liberal city in a Democracy.

Following up on this weekend's extreme raids on various homes, at least 250 people were arrested here today in St. Paul, Minnesota. Beginning last night, St. Paul was the most militarized I have ever seen an American city be, even more so than Manhattan in the week of 9/11 -- with troops of federal, state and local law enforcement agents marching around with riot gear, machine guns, and tear gas cannisters, shouting military chants and marching in military formations. Humvees and law enforcement officers with rifles were posted on various buildings and balconies. Numerous protesters and observers were tear gassed and injured.

Severals of those arrested were journalists recording the scene, for which they were arrested. Just like in Beijing. And Saddam Hussein's Iraq.

From The Nation's John Nichols:

I was with Goodman earlier this afternoon, as she was reporting on the major anti-war demonstration. She and her crew were, as always, interviewing everyone they could in the calm, assured manner that has made the daily Democracy Now! program a widely-watched and well-regarded news programs on radio and cable television stations across the country.

Not only Goodman, but the entire Democracy Now team are professional journalists in the best sense of that term. Those who are simply assuming that they probably got what they deserved -- and who are, more generally, defending the Police here simply because some actual criminals engaged in destructive behavior -- are no different than those who justify anything and everything the Government does because there are some Terrorists out there and they're really violent.

The reaction from the press, the public and the Democratic Party has been worse than an insulting yawn - it's been "protesters - so what? They probably deserved it."

Which is neither surprising nor anything new.

In his book on the Kent State massacre (and yes, children, it was a massacre: the cold-blooded murder of unarmed civilians on a major American college campus by uniformed members of the military), James Michener quoted the parents of Kent State students saying to their own traumatized children: "if you were there, you deserved to be shot."

Cross-posted at They Gave Us A Republic.

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